LET THE TRANSACTIONS BEGIN

Yesterday, the Yankees dealt Brian McCann to the Houston Astros for yet even more young prospects.  This time, they acquired 2 pitchers – Albert Abreu and Jorge Guzman.  Before you get ready for a potential Hip-Hip-Jorge chant, please notice that these guys are very young – 21 and 20 respectively.  It will take at least 2 years optimistically for them to establish any potentially true evaluations.  They both offer above-average velocity, especially Abreu.  Either could develop into a starter, but always anticipate reliever options if enough diverse arsenal is not nurtured over time.

This first major deal for the Yankees' offseason, to me, is a great start.  I feel this trade was very good for the Yankees and their fans for several reasons:

1) Youth – once again, the team got younger by dealing a 32-year old for two pitchers who are only 20 and 21 years old.

2) Payroll – the Yankees will pay a $5.5 million portion of McCann’s contract twice (once for the 2017 season and once for the 2018 season), but they are now saving $11.5 million for each of those same seasons and potentially saving $17 million for his optional 2019 season.

3) Roster Manipulation – if the Yankees don’t obtain a true DH-type player, such as bringing back free agent Carlos Beltran or initially signing free agent Edwin Encarncion, then Girardi will have the advantage of shifting players around to sharing DH duties – something that was done during some of their most successful years to help rest players or enable injuries to gradually heal for some.  (I prefer the team in that manner, but I also understand that this year’s pool of free agents may encourage the Yankees to obtain such players for some offense.)

4) Opportunity – the phenomenal  Gary Sanchez will no longer have to share time with veteran McCann.  Additionally, young catchers, especially Kyle Higashioka, will now get a respectable chance to make the 25-man roster as a the new back-up catcher in competition with Austin Romine who will probably get his last chance as the catching backup this year.  In any case, as a domino effect, others at lower levels in the Yankees’ system will also get chances for promotional opportunities such as Luis Torrens if he is not drafted and retained via the Rule 5 Draft by another team.

Stay tuned, there are a lot more transactions anticipated before the season begins.

CHICAGO, MY KIND OF TOWN (CONGRATULATIONS CUBBIES!!!)

Before I begin writing about the NYY, which will soon be in my next article, I’d like to take the time to congratulate the Chicago Cubs on their very long-awaited World Series Championship!!  I had visited the city of Chicago and both MLB ballparks six years ago and learned something that I didn’t think existed – the Chicago Cubs & White Sox fans are more competitive with (against) each other than the Yankees’ and Mets’ fans are!   I also experienced the nicest people in Wrigley Field – genuinely nice people.

Right before the 2012 season began, I was very happy when the Cubs hired Theo Epstein as their President of Baseball Operations, shortly after Theo had resigned from the Red Sox organization.   I had previously admired Theo during his very first season in 2004 as the General Manager of the Red Sox.  That is when I saw him execute some major and seemingly smart transactions for the Red Sox.  The following season is when the Red Sox finally achieved their first championship in 86 years, thanks to the major assistance of Theo and his swift architectural abilities.  For the Cubs, who hadn’t won in over 100 years, it seemed inevitable that Theo would once again be the executive to build a team that would eventually become strong enough to win it all.  It took him just 5 seasons to accomplish such a miraculous feat…again!   Additionally, Theo not only helped construct a team and hire the perfect manager (Joe Maddon) who would bring them this season’s championship, but a team that I believe will compete for years to follow this season.

Many executives tried to find ways for both the Red Sox and the Cubs to win it all year-after-year, but only Theo configured the perfect ingredients.  Building teams to win the World Series is hard enough, but building teams to win it after an 86-year drought and after a 108-year drought is so sensational!  It’s something that we will never see again!  As a result, in my opinion, Theo is currently the greatest current executive in baseball and can also be considered the greatest baseball executive of all time.

So, once again, congratulations Cubs’ fans, Theo, and all who were involved in this year’s World Series Championship; you deserved the championship like no other team ever has! 

TURNING THE PAGE

This season’s Yankees certainly failed my expectations - not that I was expecting them to win the World Series; but, in terms of wins and excitement at the end, it was a big letdown.  They only won 84 games (5 short of my prediction) and they didn’t even make it to the wildcard - which, I must admit, as the season winded down, was actually something I didn’t want them to achieve.  Yes, of course I’m a fan, but my reasoning was based on the structured team they had at that time.  That mainly included no true reliable starter.  For those who might argue that Tanaka was reliable, then I would pose this question for the other games, “Who would have pitched the following playoff games after the wildcard game?”  I just couldn’t bear to see us get further humiliated than we already did during the final weeks of the regular season.  It was clear that the youth movement of trades we made were strong stepping stones for the 2017 and 2018 seasons and beyond.

Elaborating on my last point, we truly should have a very exciting 2017 season with multiple youngsters!  As I’ve written so many past blogged articles, the Yankees’ youth movement is something that  brings us back to the same kind of plan that Gene Michael led with Brian Sabean and Buck Showalter  back in the early to mid 90s, something that historically paid off.  My last article talked about the sensation we’ve already witnessed that was provided by Gary Sanchez.  This offseason will help determine what other players will join Gary and the already-established MLB players they have on their 25-man roster.

I, for one, anticipate a better and more exciting team with the added youth onto next season's roster.  I'm anxious to see who else we add and what the team will look like as a whole within next 4 months!!

GARY SANCHEZ - WHAT A CATCH!

Well, as we Yankees’ fans all await the playoff outcome of “our” final 11 games to determine if our deficit of 2.5 games behind wildcard contention is too much to conquer at this stage, it’s about time that I brag about the guy everyone is drooling over…Gary Sanchez.  We all know, or have heard about, players that have begun their MLB careers on fire; but, the fact that this guy has demolished all sorts of records cannot be ignored.  Even when his offense finally simmers down (sorry, fans, but it’s improbable), his short-term accomplishments are already in the record books.  The key stat of the many that he’s now historically written for the record books is his 19 homers (as of last night) in just 45 games! 

Besides the homeruns that he has smashed, he’s also found a way to retain an unbelievable batting average (.337) which is very, very rare for any player who hits that amount of homeruns.  Oh, and of course, he’s also attained 11 doubles along his short journey so far!

He’s convinced me that he’s no Kevin Maas - or anyone else who proved to be a fluke as a Yankee or for any other team.  Even when his offensive numbers get reduced to that of an earthling, he has additionally demonstrated the other aspect as a true player - his defense.  From that standpoint, this youngster as a catcher (which, by the way, is the hardest defensive position of all) has thrown out 36% of attempted base-stealers and produced a .990 fielding percentage.

Gary Sanchez has made every single aspect as a professional MLB player seem way too easy in an at-ease manner.  It will be interesting to see what Gary becomes as time progresses into and through next season.  The last person with the initials G.S. that impacted the Yankees to a prevailing nature was a guy named George Steinbrenner.  Hopefully, this G.S. can help lead us in a different way (on the field) to more championships.  It’s certainly looking promising at this stage of the game!

GREATEST CLOSER/GREATEST PITCHER

Today, the Yankees dedicated a plaque to Mariano Rivera, which will be officially placed into Yankee Stadium’s Monument Park tomorrow.  As he has been my favorite Yankee in the last 35-plus years (the person that inspired me to write my first blog), I wanted to share some of my loving thoughts about not just a great Yankees, but (from everything seen and heard) one of the greatest people that has been put on this earth:

There aren’t many players in Major League Baseball who can be unquestionably deemed as the best overall player at that position.  For instance, Derek Jeter was one of the greatest shortstops of all time, but not unequivocally the greatest.  I would certainly argue that he’s the shortstop you want in any playoff game, though!  Some may say that Willie Mays was the greatest centerfielder, but others would have legitimate arguments supporting Mickey Mantle, Joe DiMaggio, Duke Snider, Rickey Henderson, or (in recent times) Ken Griffey, Jr.  In my opinion, there are only 5 positions/roles that have very little room for disputing who the greatest overall performer was:

1st Baseman - Lou Gehrig
3rd Baseman - Mike Schmidt
Left Fielder - Ted Williams
Right Fielder - Babe Ruth
Closer - Mariano Rivera

I’ve felt, for many years, that Mariano was the best closer (even after loving the “Goose” back in the late 70s and early 80s).  While most Yankees’ fans loved Mariano, I kept underscoring his greatness beyond what he had been doing for the Yankees singularly.  I emphasized Mariano’s extreme greatness to many fans and non-fans over 10 years ago because it’s rare (very rare) that we get to witness the best of any role in baseball.  So, while it was happening in each of our lives, I wanted all baseball fans who I personally knew to realize Mariano’s extraordinariness, not just taking him for granted as he continued gaining save after save to his collective stats.

Based on the short list above, most of us were fortunate enough to see Mariano and some of us were additionally lucky to have also seen Mike Schmidt and possibly even Ted Williams.  I’ve spoken to many baseball fans about Mariano and the vast majority agree that he was the best closer of all time.  That opinion is even shared by the typically biased non-Yankees’ fans of the Red Sox and Mets!  

As time has passed, since Mariano’s retirement from baseball back in 2013, I’ve begun to think even further about Mariano’s dominance on the mound.  With that, I began analyzing who the most dominating pitchers of all time might be.  Fans would definitely have a dispute over that choice!  Some would select Cy Young, Walter Johnson, Sandy Koufax, Bob Gibson, Bob Feller, Lefty Gomez, Whitey Ford, Tom Seaver, Greg Maddux, and even more in that argument.  I don’t even know which pitcher I would choose!  In my thought process (something that’s extreme) I began realizing that the greatest “pitcher” (not necessarily “starting pitcher) on the mound (again, in my opinion) was Mariano!

Of course, I realize that starting pitchers and closers are like comparing apples and oranges; but, segregating it to simply envisioning a pitcher on the mound facing the greatest hitters, Mariano’s numbers would certainly support him as the choice.  To bring this analysis to an outmost and ridiculous scenario (I told you my thought process was extreme), supposing one’s life was on the line and they had to choose one pitcher that could throw the ball past an enemy who happened to be the greatest hitter of all time (perhaps an evil Babe Ruth).  Would you choose one of the greatest starting pitchers or would you choose the undisputed greatest closer to get that hitter out?  I know who my choice would definitively be!

TRANSITION

Life waits for no one or nothing.  As hours, minutes, and seconds pass by, life transitions.  We can all relate to transition.  As a Yankees’ fan, I am overly excited for the huge transition we have been going through these past few years and especially these past few weeks.   I’ve written about the youth for a few years when the Yankees first began their aggressive International League acquisitions (players who are still progressing); about their resourceful draft picks (even though they always draft late due to their successes);  and, most recently about the youth we had acquired.

This past Friday, A-Rod played his last official game as a Yankee.  As soon as A-Rod’s vacancy became available, two Yankees were brought up from the farm system (Tyler Austin and Aaron Judge).  The latter is one name that most fans began to learn approximately 2 years ago.  Neither one of the newest Yankees wasted any time yesterday showing that they had MLB skills as they both hit homeruns in their very first MLB at-bats.  With that collective feat, they have already accomplished something never historically done!  Yes, they both already contributed a positive MLB record to the Yankees’ record books!  (Oh, and by the way, Judge’s homer traveled over 448 feet!!  The only reason it stopped at 448’ was because its travel was obstructed.)

Prior to Austin and Judge being added as new blood onto this season’s team, the Yankees had acquired Didi Gregorius (a year-and-a-half ago); acquired Ramon Castro and Aaron Hicks this past off-season; promoted Dellin Betances a few years ago; and promoted other youth-movement players most recently Rob Refsnyder, Luis Severino, Austin Romine, and Gary Sanchez.  Again, as I continue to personally be excited about our potential stars, keep in mind that there are still more getting close to joining the team soon.  In fact, by the middle of next year, the NYY will have youth represented all over the field!

We all typically resist transition; but, again, it’s inevitable.  For the most part, it offers much more that we initially see.  During 2009, the Yankees transitioned into a new, modern stadium with reservation about creating a jinx, leaving the spirits next door, and dispelling tradition.  Yet, that very year, the Yankees tossed every doubt aside by immediately winning their 27th World Series Championship!

The transitions  the Yankees have been making over the past few years, and aggressively transacted and demonstrated these past few weeks, will become a new chapter, but not a new book.  For the Yankees’ fans that are so tied to the Core-Four, don’t worry - it’s just a transition that's happening now.  We will win more championships with new names just like other past Yankees’ teams did.  Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig,  Tony Lazzeri, Red Ruffing, and Lefty Gomez transitioned throughout the last 80-plus years into players such as Joe DiMaggio, Bill Dickey, Yogi Berra, Whitey Ford , Mickey Mantle, Thurman Munson, Goose Gossage, Ron Guidry, Jorge Posada, Bernie Williams, Andy Pettitte, Derek Jeter, and Mariano Rivera.   I strongly believe some of these new names will achieve their first championship sooner rather than later.  One thing’s inevitable for sure…transition. 

A-ROD WALKS AWAY (with Hal’s persuasion)

Today, the NY Yankees and Alex Rodriguez (A-Rod) held a press conference to announce that A-Rod will play his last game in less than a week - on August 12.  They agreed on that date (as opposed to today) so A-Rod could have his family, friends, and members from his main charity group in attendance to see his last at-bats.

A-Rod mentioned that it was Hal Steinbrenner who approached him a few days ago suggesting such an arrangement.  Amongst his Advisor role in the United States, he will also “Advise” in the Dominican Republic.  All Yankees’ fans should be relieved that it was not Hank Steinbrenner who met with A-Rod because the last major conversation they had resulted in A-Rod’s current and ridiculous contract!  All fans should also be appreciative that Hal was the aggressor, reaching out to A-Rod because Hal showed that he’s listening to the fans’ rightful opinions which are backed up factually by A-Rod’s latest failing offensive numbers and his inability to play defense. 

With all of A-Rod’s steroid usage, along with his denial and lying about it, I have accepted that he certainly wasn’t (isn’t) the only one, not that such a thought makes it right; but, it does lessen the year-after-year sole focus on him by the media and the A-Rod-haters.  At least on the surface, A-Rod has really tried to play and act like he should have previously.

There is no denying that the man totally loves baseball and knows the intricacies and history of it better than most.  Many fans, media, and baseball professionals witnessed it in last year’s postseason when A-Rod performed commentary and provided more foresight than any of the veteran commentators.  Additionally, a lot of the rookies (currently and in the past) have praised A-Rod’s advice and inspiration.  Even Joe Girardi harped on that, and shared some of those stories during today’s press conference.

I am certainly appreciative of the positive things A-Rod’s done and for his contributions towards helping the Yankees win the 2009 World Series; but, I am and always will be disappointed in his wrongful acts and remarks of the past.  With that, for the future, I have seen and heard enough to know that A-Rod will definitely contribute towards the development of many, many young players in the Yankees’ organization.  He will already demonstrate his assistance towards the prospects when #13 vacates a roster spot appropriately on August 13th.

MARK TEIXEIRA RETIRES

As Mark Teixeira’s 8th season as a NY Yankee is about to end so, too, will his career.  That’s because today Mark announced that he will retire as a Yankee at the end of this season, which coincides with his contract term.  This year was certainly his worst offensively as he fought through various injuries - something that has become the norm over the past few years for him.

Earlier in the year, Mark had expressed his desire to play for at least 2 more years.  He also stated that he would love to end his career in Yankees’ pinstripes.  Well, half of his desire will now happen.   Mark mentioned his frustrations with the constant injuries as a major factor towards his retiring decision.  I also believe that, once he saw the Yankees’ commitment to bringing up the “kids” including the recent trades, he knew his chance of a contract renewal with the Yankees was not on their agenda.

I am one of those fans who constantly advocates the importance of defense and Mark certainly gave us that over his 8 seasons.  In fact, he was one of the best defensive first basemen in baseball for quite some time.  The scoops, the dives, and the 3-4-3 (or 3-6-3) double plays he began were one of the most dependable things I’ve watched with this team over Mark’s years as a Yankee.  I remember all the struggles the Yankees’ organization (mostly Brian Cashman) had over the years trying to attain or call up players to fill Mark’s cleats when he was injured or offered a day off.  Those awful moments sure made everyone realize how great Mark was defensively!

Mark will go down in history as one of the best switch-hitters in the game.  His 8 straight years with 30-plus homeruns and 100-plus RBIs per season is something he mentioned as his proudest personal achievement.  He also mentioned how, when he became a Yankee in 2009, he thought winning a World Series would be fairly easy to achieve with a team that wins so many championships.  He later learned how hard, even for the Yankees, it was to accomplish.  My favorite part of his press conference, from this afternoon, was the passion he demonstrated when talking about the fans.

In today’s blog, I publicly thank Mark for the years he produced many homers, RBIs, and defense for us.  I would particularly like to add my gratitude for his passion.  I know we’ll be seeing him at the stadium even after this season and I know I will personally applaud him every time.

TRADEWINDS!!!!

Well, the Yankees finally did it!  They aggressively traded with full focus on youth.  Over the past few years they have been adding so many pieces (mostly via the International Draft) for their farm system and now, with 5 trades this past week (yes, “5” trades), they have accomplished the finishing touches with additional top-tier prospects.  Even the so-called experts have conceded that the Yankees’ farm system has now positioned itself within the Top 3 (out of 30)!  That’s quite a turnaround for the Yankees, a team that has been constantly bashed as “old” with a farm system that was ranked in the middle range.  In fact, the Yankees now have a total of 7 Top Prospects from the Top 100 according to most key publications who rank MLB’s prospects.

Here are the Yankees’ 5 trades that were made over the past week:

Aroldis Chapman - traded to the Chicago Cubs for Gleyber Torres (SS); Billy McKinney (OF);  and Adam Warren (RHP/Reliever), who returns to the team after pitching in relief for the Cubs for only a half season.  Both Torres and McKinney have very high ceilings.

Andrew Miller - traded to the Cleveland Indians for Clint Frazier (OF); Justus Sheffield (LHP/Starter); Ben Heller (RHP/Reliever); and JP Feyereisen (RHP/Reliever).  Both Frazier (who owns one of the best bat speeds of all minor players) and Heller are AAA players who are expected to be on the MLB club by next year (Heller will probably be on the NYY club first).  I agree with the high praises from the press regarding Frazier and somewhat Sheffield, but I am apparently the only one excited about Heller!

Carlos Beltran - traded to the Texas Rangers for minor leaguers Dillon Tate (RHP/Starter/Reliever) who was the fourth overall pick in the 2015 MLB Draft mainly because his fastball & slider are well above average; Erik Swanson (RHP/Reliever); and Nick Green (RHP/Starter), a pitcher the NYY originally drafted during 2013 but didn’t sign.  Tate is exceedingly regarded by most, but his ERA this season was high.  That was supposedly attributed to a lingering hamstring injury that has reportedly healed now.

Ivan Nova - traded from the Yankees to the Pittsburgh Pirates for 2 players to be named later.  I’m sure one of them will be fairly decent and the other will probably be very young with slight hope - we’ll soon find out the projected worth of this deal; but, as a whole, Nova was way too inconsistent for all Yankees’ fans.

Tyler Clippard (RHP/Reliever) returns to the NYY - he was originally drafted by them in 2003 and played for their Major League club back in 2007 - as he was acquired from the Arizona Diamondbacks for Vicente Campos.

By the way, Chapman, Beltran, and Nova are set to become Free Agents after this season.  That condition made each acquisition more challenging for Brian Cashman to acquire worthy talent.  Of course, all baseball fans know that most prospects don’t reach their projected potential; but, statistically (just like any other type of gamble) the more opportunities you align yourself with, the better chance you have to gain dividends.

Now that this season’s non-waiver trades are complete, the Yankees are still left with two players who are well below their prime years - CC Sabathia and A-Rod.  CC will probably remain on the team; but, as for A-Rod, he’s been rumored as a consideration to be released by the Yankees.  If that happens, the Yankees would still be obligated to fully pay his remaining contract (which has one-and-a-half years left @~$30 million, assuming he is unable to achieve 18 more homers which triggers his contract's clause for yet another extra $6 million for attaining 714 homers).

They also still have a handful of players underachieving for more than one consecutive season, now - Mark Teixeira (a free agent after this season), Brian McCann, Jacoby Ellsbury, Bret Gardner, and Michael Pineda.  Additionally, Chase Headley’s hitting has been worsening rapidly.  Aside from Teixeira and Gardner, the high-priced multi-year contracts of McCann, Ellsbury and Headley would typically qualify each as potential candidates for “waiver” trades (allowable trades that continue through the end of the season only after the team places such players onto the waiver wire for the other 29 teams to claim, if they choose).  The penalty for such claiming teams would be risky because they could be obligated to take on the full remaining balance of such high-priced contracts if they cannot work out a dually agreed-upon deal with the Yankees.   If any one of these Yankees passes through waivers, then the Yankees’ team would have the right to offer the unclaimed player in a trade.

All of the above offers the Yankees’ fans a lot of hope for this year and for years to come as more and more open roster spots open for the Yankees’ rookies!   In reality, we weren’t going to win the World Series this year, anyway - even if we won nearly 90 games.  So, next year, we will have a full season that will allow many promising youngsters a chance to prove or disprove themselves.  That list should include some we’ve already seen at a decent sample size (such as Rob Refsnyder, Aaron Hicks, and Luis Severino) and some that we’ve barely seen or have not seen yet: 

Hitters:

Tyler Austin (OF/1B/3B), Aaron Judge (OF), Gary Sanchez (C), Ben Gamel (OF), Jake Cave (OF), Kyle Higashioka (C), Jose Rosario (2B), Donavan Solano (3B), Cesar Puello (1B), Mason Williams (OF), and now outfielders Clint Frazier and Billy Mckinney.

Pitchers:

Conor Mullee, Mark Montgomery, Giovanny Gallegos, Tyler Webb, and now Ben Heller.

TRADE NOW!

All MLB teams have now played a handful of games beyond the 50% mark for this season.  With that, at this point of the season, I can only feel total disappointment towards the Yankees and their see-saw record in which they now sit at 2 games below the .500 mark (42-44).  So much for my prediction a few months ago - at least at this point!

Of course, any optimistic Yankees’ fan can relate to our great Yogi Berra’s “It ain’t over till it’s over.” quote; but, a pessimist (or, perhaps in this case, a realist) would say that they’ve seen enough of this team to put that belief to the side in this case because these Yankees have not offered enough hope to even attempt to prove Yogi right.  I’ve watched so many games in my life - even during the seasons where the Yankees were worse than this, but most of those teams had more excitement to them.  For instance, even though they never won a World Series with Rickey Henderson in pinstripes during the mid-to-late 80s, he certainly electrified the game with his exciting base-stealing success.  Likewise, Don Mattingly and Dave Winfield offered a batting title competition in 1984 through the last game of the season.  Our speedsters, Gardner and Ellsbury, lure fans to sleep with their cautionary base-stealing and we certainly don’t have any player that could come close to a batting title challenge.

This Yankees’ team overall offense has been insubstantial and their starting pitching has offered opposing teams batting practice launches.   Certainly, their 1-2-3 punches of Dellin Betances, Andrew Miller, and Aroldis Chapman have pretty much shown us what we all expected, but they rarely get to perform with the Yankees ahead in a game by the 7^th inning.  Other positive contributors this season have included Carlos Beltran, Didi Gregorius, and Starlin Castro.  The accomplishments of the aforementioned six players equate to about one-fourth of the team, or 25% of positivity!  No wonder I find myself changing the channel way too often.

We’ve been waiting for the older players (A-Rod, CC, Beltran, and Mark Teixeira) to reach the end of their contracts and we’re getting closer and closer - thankfully.  While Beltran has certainly over-performed this year, he is still a detriment in right field.  The Yankees need to trade him now, while his value is high - and I mean trade him right now, before he ends up injured and untradeable!

The Yankees have enough assets to really make a splash and make their team solid enough for years to come.  As I’ve alluded to in the past, they do indeed have a group of young players very near to reaching the majors (Gary Sanchez, Aaron Judge, and Ben Gamel) - perhaps this August or September.  Certainly, two reserve players, Austin Romine and Rob Refsnyder, have contributed to the team this year. Sanchez, Judge, and/or Gamel would offer so much promise towards excitement and hope - even this season!

Basically, we need to attain 2 solid starters and 2 solid hitters.  I don’t want to trade Andrew Miller - a player who many teams have expressed interest to acquire.  Let’s instead trade Chapman even though the return would be less (because of his abuse charges and his upcoming free agency).  His 100-plus miles-per-hour fastball and his closing record offer enough to bring back a very good return.

I'm not one of those fans who's ignorantly looking to gain great returns for devalued assets such as the Yankees' high-paid players who are under-producing (Jacoby Ellsbury, A-Rod, Chase Headley, or Teixeira) or even the lower-salaried players who have been under-producing (Nathan Eovaldi or Michael Pineda).  The Yankees do have tradable assets with high enough values.  That's why I believe that Beltran, Chapman, Gardner, and/or McCann could individually or collectively bring back worthy returns - some who can make the team immediately better.  With the non-waiver trading deadline approaching (August 1), let's trade now before our trading assets get hurt!

2016 PREDICTIONS - YANKEES & METS

Last year, I predicted the Yankees would win 87 games and they won exactly that!  I also predicted the Mets would win 83, but that prediction was off, as they won 90!  Of course, I’m satisfied with my Yankees prediction, but I’m mostly proud because it was totally against almost every baseball critic, who felt they’d be much worse.  Baseball, like any sport, is all about playing the game, not just relying on past stats.  Predictions should also include analyses of team chemistry, health, players’ contract statuses/incentives, evaluations of each team’s competitors (especially those who they play most), trade power (money & talented assets), etc.  Of course a lot of that can’t be evaluated without failure and a lot of it is pure luck!!!

Still, we all love to predict and love to opinionate.  I’m no different on that front!  So, here are my insightful predictions of both NY teams again…

The New York Yankees (89 wins)

This year, I’m also including the roster to help as a visual aid and to offer an interesting reflection later during the season because we know that the rosters never stay the same.  Here is the roster as of today:

Starting Pitchers

Masahiro Tanaka

Michael Pineda

Nathan Eovaldi

Luis Severino

CC Sabathia

Relievers

Andrew Miller

Dellin Betances

Chasen Shreve

Ivan Nova

Johnny Barbato

Luis Cessa

Kirby Yates

Aroldis Chapman (domestic abuse - suspended through May 8)

Bryan Mitchell (fractured toe/disabled list)

Hitters

Brett Gardner

Jacoby Ellsbury

Carlos Beltran

Mark Teixeira

Alex Rodriguez

Brian McCann

Starlin Castro

Chase Headley

Didi Gregorius

Aaron Hicks

Austin Romine

Dustin Ackley

Ronald Torreyes

Greg Bird (shoulder labrum tear surgery/disabled list)

Well, another year of the critics loving the Red Sox and hating the Yankees.  In my opinion, the American League East is a crapshoot.  The Blue Jays have great hitting (again), but no pitching; the Rays have great pitching again, but no hitting; the Orioles have awful starting pitching, but great homerun power; the Red Sox improved by acquiring an ace and a closer, but still did not do enough to bring them from last to first; and the Yankees got slightly younger and improved their bullpen flame-throwing intimidation, but still carry the most injury-prone team within the AL East.

I believe that since the whole division is vulnerable, that most will play with a .500 record against each other.  That is a key reason why I feel the Yankees will slightly improve compared to last year’s record.  While the Yankees were the only team in the Majors that did not “buy” a free agent this past offseason, they may be on the cusp of going on a spending binge by year’s end - especially with the upcoming termination of both Teixeira’s and Beltran’s contracts.  That may help them show very little resistance towards acquiring an expensive contract by August’s trade deadline.  Except for Toronto, the other AL East teams seem to have exhausted their opened wallets for this year.

Last year, the Yankees had an awesome bullpen and this year may have improved it even more.  Certainly, they will be feared by all teams when it comes to their late-innings trio of Betances, Miller, and Chapman (when he is activated in May).  For games that offer all three flamethrowers, expect great breezes coming from the mound.  Even with their great bullpen, it is the acquisition of Castro as their new second baseman that excites me the most.  If Castro stays healthy, he will prove to be a vast improvement over the second basemen we had last year - especially Stephen Drew.  I don’t think there was even one Yankees’ fan that liked him!  The defensive tandem of Gregorius and Castro at shortstop and second respectively will certainly be fun to watch on the baseball diamond.  I can’t wait to see them and the bullpen!  Hopefully, watching the team as a whole will be fun, too.  I believe it will because their comradery is strong - something that I weigh heavily when I analyzed “teams”.

The New York Mets (89 wins)

That’s right, for the very first time I am predicting that the Mets will win the same amount of games as the Yankees!  Here’s a view of the Mets’ roster:

Starting Pitchers

Matt Harvey

Noah Syndergaard

Jacob deGrom

Bartolo Colon

Steven Matz

Zack Wheeler (Tommy John surgery/disabled list)

Relievers

Jeurys Familia

Addison Reed

Antonio Bastardo

Jerry Blevins

Hansel Robles

Jim Henderson

Logan Verrett

Josh Edgin (Tommy John surgery/disabled list)

Hitters

Curtis Granderson

David Wright

Yoenis Cespedes

Lucas Duda

Neil Walker

Michael Conforto

Asdrubal Cabrera

Travis d'Arnaud

Kevin Plawecki

Wilmer Flores

Eric Campbell

Juan Lagares

Alejandro De Aza

Unlike the American League’s Eastern Division, the National League’s Western Division is not evenly distributed at all.  The Mets have their great starting pitching, with suspect hitting and the Washington Nationals offer very good hitting and good pitching.  The rest of the teams in that division are very weak.  That means that every time the Mets (and the Nationals) play the Atlanta Braves, Florida Marlins, and Philadelphia Phillies they have a chance to add more wins than losses to their standings.  That is similar to last year.  The biggest difference with the Mets’ inter-division play is the Nationals.  They lost a few key players, but they added the best acquisition within the division - they hired Dusty Baker as their manager.  He is such a better manager than Matt Williams!

The Mets also improved this year with the acquisitions of Neil Walker (2B) and Asdrubal Cabrera (SS), but they needed to do much more offensively and with their bullpen.  Their starters are the same group, but other teams will now have stronger scouting reports on them.  The Mets should have spent some damn money!!

They also lost heart this past offseason - twice.  First, they removed Wilmer Flores from their starting lineup and alternately made him their utility player.  Second, they released Ruben Tejada to save $1 million.  Both players had unintentionally formed comradery and heart for the team.  Flores, when he cried last year thinking he had been traded and Tejada when he was hit hard by Chase Utley’s aggressive slide during the World Series. In order for them to be a good team they have to become more bonded and not so individualized.  Their starting pitchers are somewhat bonded, with the exception of Matt Harvey.  He seems to be an outcast, mostly by his own doing.  Even their captain, David Wright, is at a loss for words when it comes to Harvey.  Speaking of David Wright, his everyday back condition will certainly be a cause of alarm for this team.

So, there you have it - my 2016 predictions.  It's a long way to game number 162.  Ironically, the Mets will face the defending World Series' Champions (the team that beat them) tonight and, tomorrow, the Yankees will have to face the same dominating pitcher (Dallas Keuchel) from the Astros - the team that beat them in the wildcard playoff game.  From a baseball perspective, this will certainly be an interesting year in New York.

♫♪ HERE COME THE YANKEES ♪♫

Later this week, MLB begins its workouts for pitchers and catchers and the following week the rest of the squads will join them.  Once March begins, this year’s spring training games will also begin.  Before you know it, in approximately 1½ months (on April 4^th) the NYY are scheduled to open/play their first official 2016 MLB game against the Astros at Yankee Stadium.  From my own personal perspective, this year’s offseason passed by rather quickly; yet, I can’t wait for baseball’s return.

It’s hard to fathom that the Yankees were the only team in MLB that didn’t sign a free agent!  All of their new acquisitions came via trades.  That certainly doesn’t fit the mold of the late George Steinbrenner!  It’s clear that the NYY are waiting for this season’s expiration of both Mark Teixeira’s and Carlos Beltran’s contracts before they commit large sums of money into any free-agent.  Next season, they will also have the contracts of both A-Rod and CC Sabathia coming off the books.  There is no doubt to me that by the time all 4 contracts expire, the Yankees’ farm system and the youth they’ve acquired will be fully lined up with a comparable ammunition that they had back in 1996 when their last great generation began for years to come.

In the interim, I look forward to seeing some of our new acquisitions play - particularly, Aroldis Chapman, Starlin Castro, and Aaron Hicks.  Chapman offers a very intimidating 1-2-3 punch at the end of games (along with Betances and Miller); Castro offers a great up-the-middle duo with Didi Gregorius (one of last year’s youthful acquisitions); and Hicks offers a great deal of speed to join Gardner and Ellsbury in the outfield, while also offering an alternative to either of them without compromising defense.

Of course, health is always a concern for all teams; but, the Yankees have already experienced a big blow before this year’s first official pitch was thrown!  Greg Bird (Teixeira’s potential 2017 replacement) was diagnosed with a torn labrum to his right shoulder and had surgery that will typically require Bird to miss this season (with a small possibility of returning by August or September this year).  Bird wasn’t expected to be more than a backup player for Teixeira this year, with the possibility of playing mostly for their AAA (Scranton/Wilkes-Barre) team.  In either instance, Bird’s injury will offer the Yankees less time to definitively conclude whether or not he will irrefutably become their starting first baseman for their 2017 team.

Besides the ramifications of Bird’s injury, I also (unfortunately) reserve my jubilance for this season because, as most feel, the Yankees' health concerns are well beyond first base.  Their health concerns mostly evolve around their starting pitchers.  They have 5 of their potential 6 starting pitchers with recent historic health issues (Masahiro Tanaka, CC Sabathia, Ivan Nova, Nathan Eovaldi, and Michael Pineda).  Their farm system holds many players that are 1-2 years away, but just a few that could potentially step right into the majors during the first half of this season - especially a starter.  They really need to acquire either a decent major-league-ready starter or one that is a AAA player on the cusp of making the majors this season!  Brian Cashman has, thus far, failed to make such an acquisition.  He also failed to pick up a decent first-base backup to Teixeira.  He’s relying on too many middle infielders to have that ability - a past reliance that has customarily failed too many times.

The Yankees are not the only team in the American League East that have health or even composition issues…they all do!  I can only hope that the Yankees can acquire a decent starting pitcher and backup first baseman.  In the interim, they should still be competitive and, who knows who they might add to the team from now until August 1?  With that, and also my love for baseball, I’m certainly excited that baseball is about to begin.  Play ball!!